The same gym in two different boxes
At six o'clock in the morning, a members-only gym is almost empty. Rafael uses a treadmill, and every other treadmill is still free. His use takes nothing from anyone. At six o'clock in the evening, the same gym is full. Rafael takes the last treadmill, and Mei waits twenty minutes for it.
The last lecture sorted goods into four boxes with two yes-or-no questions. It also promised that the boxes are not as tidy as they look. Here is the problem. Is the gym rival? In the morning the answer is no. In the evening the answer is yes. Nothing about the gym has changed except the number of people inside it.
So the two questions do not always have a yes-or-no answer. Rivalry can grow as a good gets crowded. Excludability can grow when someone builds a gate, writes a password or passes a law. Most real goods sit somewhere between the boxes, and many of them move. This lecture is about those in-between goods, and about why their position matters so much for policy.
Rivalry comes in degrees
Think about a road. When traffic is light, one more car slows nobody down. The road is non-rival. As more cars join, the road fills. Each new car now makes every other car a little slower. At some point the road is clearly rival: your use of it takes something real from everyone else, which is their time.
A good like this is called congestible. It is non-rival up to a point, and then it becomes more and more rival as it gets crowded. Roads, parks, beaches, museums, swimming pools and mobile phone networks all behave this way.
The important word is "each". When a road is crowded, one extra car adds only a tiny delay to each other car. But there are thousands of other cars. A tiny delay multiplied by thousands is a large cost. And the driver who causes it does not pay it. That is exactly the shape of a negative externality, which you met earlier in this topic.
Traffic planners describe how trip time rises with traffic using a formula developed by the US Bureau of Public Roads. The explorer below uses that formula for an invented road: a trip takes 10 minutes when the road is empty, and the road is designed for 2 000 cars an hour. Move the traffic and watch two things: your own trip time, and the total delay your car adds to everyone else.
Move the traffic. Watch your own trip time, and the total delay that your one car adds to all the other drivers. Time is valued at $15 an hour (an invented figure).
An invented road: a trip takes 10 minutes when the road is empty, and the road is designed for 2 000 cars an hour. Trip time = 10 × (1 + 0.15 × (cars ÷ 2 000)⁴) minutes. Time is valued at $15 an hour.
| Cars per hour | Your trip (min) | Delay you add to others (min) | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|
| 500 | 10.0 | 0.02 | $0.01 |
| 1 000 | 10.1 | 0.38 | $0.09 |
| 2 000 | 11.5 | 6.00 | $1.50 |
| 2 500 | 13.7 | 14.65 | $3.66 |
What did you see? Up to about 1 000 cars an hour, one more car adds almost nothing to anyone, less than half a minute in total. The road behaves like a non-rival good. Beyond the design figure, the extra delay grows very fast. At 2 500 cars an hour, one more car adds about 15 minutes of delay, spread across all the other drivers. At $15 an hour, that is about $3.66 of other people's time. The driver feels none of it.
That is it. That is the whole idea of a congestible good. The same road is non-rival at night and rival at rush hour, and the change is gradual, not a jump from one box to another.
A quasi-public good has some features of a public good, but not all of them, or not all of the time.
It may be non-rival only until it becomes crowded (a congestible good), or non-excludable only until someone pays to exclude people.
Excludability depends on cost, technology and law
The last lecture defined excludability as being able to keep non-payers out "at a reasonable cost". That phrase is the key to the second half of the story. Whether exclusion is reasonable depends on three things.
Cost. A long open beach is hard to fence. A small beach with one path to it can be fenced cheaply, with a gate and a ticket booth. The beach did not change. The cost of exclusion did.
Technology. For decades, a television signal sent over the air could be received by anyone with an aerial. It was non-excludable. Then signals could be scrambled, so that only paying homes could unscramble them. Later, video moved to the internet, where a password decides who watches. The same film moved from the public-good corner to the club-good corner, because technology made exclusion cheap.
Law. Technology can also work the other way. Cameras that read number plates made it possible to charge every car that enters a city centre, without stopping any of them. A road that was non-excludable in practice can become excludable once the law allows a charge and cameras collect it.
Put rivalry and excludability together, and the four boxes become a map. A good can sit anywhere on it. It can also move.
Many textbooks draw a simpler version: a single line from "pure public good" at one end to "pure private good" at the other, with quasi-public goods in between. Defence and flood barriers sit near the public end. Street lighting and open parks come next. Toll roads, museums with entry fees and swimming pools come after them. Food, clothing and haircuts sit at the private end. The line is a useful summary. The map shows why each good sits where it does.
One road, four economic goods
A country road at 3 a.m., with no toll. One more car slows nobody, so it is non-rival. Nobody is stopped from using it, so it is non-excludable. It behaves like a public good.
A city road at rush hour, with no toll. Each car slows the others, so it is rival. Nobody pays to enter, so it is non-excludable. It behaves like a common resource. Like the fish in the open sea, it is overused. Every driver uses it as if it were free, though each one imposes a cost on all the others.
A toll road with plenty of space. Drivers who do not pay are kept out, so it is excludable. One more car slows nobody, so it is non-rival. It is a club good.
A city road at rush hour, with a congestion charge. Now drivers who do not pay are kept out, so it is excludable. But the purpose of the charge is to reduce the crowding. If the charge works, fewer cars use the road, and each one slows the others less. The road moves from the common-resource corner towards the club-good corner. If the charge is too low, the road is still crowded, and then it is closer to a private good: excludable and rival.
Check the reasoning with the explorer: cutting traffic from 2 500 to 2 000 cars an hour cuts the delay that one more car adds to others from about 14.6 minutes to 6.0 minutes.
The last case shows why a congestion charge is two policies at once. It creates excludability, because only drivers who pay may enter. And it works as a Pigouvian tax: it makes each driver pay something towards the delay that the driver causes to others. Ideally, the charge would equal that delay, valued in money. In the explorer, that is about $1.50 at 2 000 cars an hour and about $3.66 at 2 500.
A bridge is almost never crowded. Its owner charges a $3 toll. Fatima would value crossing at $1, so she drives the long way round instead. Has anything been lost?
Show the answer
Yes. Because the bridge is uncongested, Fatima's crossing would cost nobody anything: no delay, and almost no extra wear. So her crossing would add $1 of value at a cost close to zero. The toll stops it, and that $1 of value is simply lost. This is a deadweight loss. For a non-rival good, a price can exclude people whose use costs nothing. That is why many uncongested roads and bridges are free and paid for by taxes. A charge does useful work only when one person's use takes something from others, as on a crowded road.
A real case: London's congestion charge
The policy. On 17 February 2003, London began charging drivers £5 a day to enter a zone in the centre of the city on weekdays, from 7 a.m. to 6.30 p.m. Cameras read number plates, so no car had to stop. The charge rose to £8 in July 2005.
The prediction. The theory says that a price on a crowded road should reduce the number of cars, and that fewer cars should mean much less delay, because delay grows so fast near capacity. Transport for London (TfL), the city's transport authority, expected congestion inside the zone to fall by 20% to 30%.
What happened first. TfL's report on the first year (April 2004) found that traffic entering the zone during charging hours had fallen by 18%. Congestion inside the zone had fallen by 30%, the top of the expected range. Bus speeds in the zone rose by about 6%. In the morning peak, 38% more bus passengers entered the zone than in 2002. About 65 000 to 70 000 car trips into the zone each day were no longer made.
What happened later. In August 2008, TfL reported that traffic was still 21% below its level before the charge. But congestion had returned to the level it was at before the charge. TfL explained why: a large programme of water and gas main replacement had dug up many roads, and road space had also been given to buses, pedestrians and cyclists. The roads could carry fewer cars than before. TfL said congestion would have been "significantly worse" without the lower traffic.
The verdict. The price did what the theory predicts. It made the road excludable, and drivers responded by making tens of thousands fewer car trips each day. But congestion depends on two things, the number of cars and the space available. London used the charge to cut the first, and then reduced the second for other reasons. So the charge did not keep the roads uncongested for ever. It kept them much less congested than they would otherwise have been. A congestion charge is not a fixed solution. The right charge depends on how much road space there is.
Stockholm's experience shows the other half of the story, which is public opinion. The city ran a seven-month trial charge from January to July 2006. Traffic across the charging cordon fell by about 22%. Queuing time fell by roughly a third in the morning peak and about half in the evening peak. Residents voted in a referendum in September 2006, and the charge was brought back permanently in August 2007. A study of the trial concluded that the faster journeys were large enough for ordinary people to notice, and that this changed many minds.
Education: a private good with a public side
Is education a public good? Many people say yes, because educated people benefit everyone. Ask the two questions instead.
A place in a classroom is rival: when the class is full, another pupil cannot join it. A teacher's attention is rival too. And a school can charge fees and refuse pupils who do not pay, so education is excludable. By the two questions, a school place is close to a private good.
But education also has large benefits for people other than the student. A society with more educated people tends to have more ideas, better public debate and more people able to do skilled work. These are positive externalities, which you met earlier in this topic. They mean that a free market would produce too little education. They do not change the two properties. A good can be rival, excludable and still create benefits for others. Test this kind of argument below.
A student writes this argument. Exactly one line contains a mistake. Tap it.
A student's argument about education. Line 5 is wrong.
- Line 1. When a class is full, another pupil cannot join it. Correct: a school place is rival.
- Line 2. Schools can charge fees and refuse pupils who do not pay. Correct: education is excludable.
- Line 3. So a school place, on its own, is close to a private good. Correct.
- Line 4. But educated people also benefit others, through new ideas and skilled work. Correct: a positive externality.
- Line 5. These benefits to others make education non-rival and non-excludable, so it is a public good. Wrong: benefits to others do not change rivalry or excludability. Education stays mostly a private good with a positive externality.
- Line 6. So a free market would supply too little education, and there is a case for government support. Correct, but the reason is the externality.
This difference matters for policy. If education were a public good, the argument would be about free riding, and only compulsory payment through taxes could supply it. Because it is mostly a private good with positive externalities, the argument is about the externality. So the tools can be subsidies, grants or free school places, alongside private schools. Different reasons lead to different tools.
Where a good sits decides the policy
Here is the main reason the map matters. Each region of it points to a different kind of policy.
| Where the good sits | Usual policy | Example |
|---|---|---|
| Pure public good | government provides it, paid for by taxes | defence, flood barriers |
| Congestible good | free when quiet; a charge when crowded | city roads, popular parks |
| Club good | private firms can provide it; competition policy keeps prices fair | gyms, streaming services |
| Private good with positive externalities | subsidies or public provision | education, vaccination |
| Pure private good | the market | food, clothing |
Technology keeps moving goods across this table. Each time exclusion becomes cheap, a good that once needed taxes can be sold instead. This shrinks the public-goods problem, because firms can now collect payment. But it raises a question of fairness. A good that everyone once received, such as a free television broadcast, may now reach only those who can pay. Economics can describe that trade-off. It cannot decide it on its own.
Three classic mistakes
"Quasi-public" describes the two properties of a good, not who pays for it. A members-only gym that gets crowded in the evening is quasi-public in the economist's sense, and no government is involved. Classify by rivalry and excludability, never by the owner.
A road is not "a public good" or "a common resource" for ever. Its position depends on how many people use it, and on whether a charge can be collected. In an answer, always say when and under what conditions: "an uncongested road with no toll is non-rival and non-excludable".
Education and vaccination have strong positive externalities, but both are rival and excludable. An externality is about who else benefits. The public-good test is about rivalry and excludability. Keep the two ideas separate, because they lead to different policies.
Work each one on paper first. Open a hint only when you are stuck.
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Place each on the map, and name the box it is closest to.
(a) A city park with open gates, on a quiet weekday.
(b) The same park on the day of a free festival, when it is packed.
(c) A botanic garden with a ticket gate and plenty of room.
(d) A sold-out concert in a stadium.Hint 1
For each one, ask the rivalry question first: does one more visitor take anything from the others at that moment?
Hint 2
Then ask whether non-payers are actually kept out, or could be kept out cheaply.
Full answer
(a) Close to a public good: non-rival when quiet and not excluding anyone (though a fence could make it excludable). (b) Close to a common resource: rival, because space is crowded, and nobody is kept out. (c) Club good: excludable by the gate, non-rival while there is room. (d) Close to a private good: excludable by tickets, and rival, since every seat is taken. The park in (a) and (b) is the same park; only the crowd changed.
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On a busy bridge, 1 200 cars cross each hour. One more car makes each of the other trips 0.5 seconds longer. Drivers value their time at $12 an hour (an invented figure). What is the cost, in dollars, that one more car places on other drivers? Sanjay values his trip at $1.50. If there is no charge, will he cross? Should he, from society's point of view?
Hint 1
Multiply the delay per trip by the number of other trips, then turn seconds into hours.
Hint 2
1 200 × 0.5 s = 600 s = 10 minutes. At $12 an hour, one minute is worth $0.20.
Full answer
The extra delay is 1 200 × 0.5 = 600 seconds, which is 10 minutes. At $12 an hour ($0.20 a minute), that is 10 × $0.20 = $2.00. With no charge, Sanjay crosses, because his own gain is $1.50 and he pays nothing for the delay he causes. From society's point of view he should not: his $1.50 gain is less than the $2.00 cost to others. A $2 charge would make him include that cost, and he would choose not to cross. Check: $1.50 − $2.00 = −$0.50, a net loss to society from his trip.
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A city swimming pool charges $4 on weekend afternoons and $1 on weekday mornings. Use the idea of rivalry to explain why this pricing can make sense.
Hint 1
When is the pool crowded? What does one more swimmer take from the others at that time?
Hint 2
Think about the bridge in the Stop-and-think. What does a high price do when the good is not crowded?
Full answer
On weekend afternoons the pool is crowded, so it is rival: each extra swimmer takes space from others. A higher price makes each swimmer pay something towards that cost, and moves some swimmers to quieter times. On weekday mornings the pool is nearly empty, so it is close to non-rival. One more swimmer costs others almost nothing. A high price then would only turn away people whose swim would add value at almost no cost, which is a deadweight loss. So the low price fits. This is the congestion charge idea on a small scale.
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Use the explorer's road (10 minutes when empty, designed for 2 000 cars an hour). (a) A charge cuts traffic from 2 500 to 2 000 cars an hour. By how much does the trip time fall? (b) Later, road works reduce the design figure from 2 000 to 1 600 cars an hour, while traffic stays at 2 000. In the formula, trip time depends only on traffic ÷ design figure. What is the trip time now? (c) What does this suggest about London's experience?
Hint 1
Read (a) from the explorer: 13.7 minutes at 2 500 and 11.5 minutes at 2 000.
Hint 2
Work out traffic ÷ design figure in each case: 2 500 ÷ 2 000 and 2 000 ÷ 1 600.
Full answer
(a) From about 13.7 minutes to 11.5 minutes, a fall of about 2.2 minutes per trip, for every one of 2 000 trips. (b) 2 000 ÷ 1 600 = 1.25, the same ratio as 2 500 ÷ 2 000. So the trip time goes back to about 13.7 minutes, exactly as before the charge. (c) A charge can cut traffic, but if road space shrinks by the same proportion, congestion returns. This is what London saw by 2008: traffic stayed about 21% lower, but works and road space given to other uses brought congestion back. Check with the formula: 10 × (1 + 0.15 × 1.25⁴) = 10 × (1 + 0.15 × 2.44) ≈ 13.7 minutes.
A public good is not a kind of object. It is a situation: a combination of how crowded something is, how cheap it is to exclude people, and what the law allows. Change the crowd, the technology or the law, and the same object becomes a different economic good, with a different best policy. This is why economists argue less about what a good is and more about what conditions it is in.
Every policy on the map also depends on information. A congestion charge works only if planners know how much delay one more car causes. A subsidy for education works only if students and schools know the value of what is being bought. Markets also fail when one side knows much more than the other. The next lecture begins there: asymmetric information.
- Rivalry and excludability come in degrees, so most real goods sit between the four boxes rather than inside one of them.
- A quasi-public good has some features of a public good but not all of them, or not all of the time.
- A congestible good, such as a road, is non-rival when quiet and becomes rival as it gets crowded, because each user slows every other user.
- Excludability depends on the cost of exclusion, on technology and on the law, so goods can move from the public-good corner towards the club-good corner.
- A congestion charge makes a crowded road excludable and works as a Pigouvian tax on the delay each driver causes, as London's charge showed from 2003.
- Education is mostly a private good with positive externalities, so the case for supporting it rests on the externality, not on the public-good argument.